INTRODUCTION:
I’d start off with my WAIS post: What About UK Pensioners in Other EU Nations in case of a Brexit (Bienvenido Macario, USA, 06/19/16)
Right now, an estimated two million British pensioners are living abroad in EU nations, where the cost of living is such that their monthly pension goes a long way further than if they retired in the UK. This is why it will take at least two years before a full UK exit could be completed.
Where in the UK will these 2 million retirees live? With interest rates at rock-bottom levels, how could these pensioners even afford the high cost of living in the UK?
Unless we are now seeing the rise of British Isolationism, once the monopoly of the US, the issues the Brexiters have raised are no longer valid after David Cameron successfully lobbied for a Reformed EU on February 19, 2016.
So why quit now when you could give the EU one last chance and if it still doesn’t work, the UK could unilaterally quit, with a clear conscience?
If Brexit is wrong, how do you correct this mistake? Rejoin the EU? Will they let the UK rejoin the EU?
But if staying in the EU is wrong, the UK could always leave, Brexit any time and unilaterally. Brexit is bad for the UK if it leaves without even trying life in a reformed EU.
Without the UK, Germany and France will have great difficulty making the EU work. Unscrupulous governments of EU’s Members have always played the Nazi-Hitler card when called to make good on their commitments. This is why the UK is indispensable to the EU’s success.
What About UK Pensioners in Other EU Nations? (Bienvenido Macario, USA, 06/19/16 7:23 am)
http://waisworld.org/go.jsp?id=02a&objectType=post&o=105804&objectTypeId=82098&topicId=199
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This is the reply from WAISer Angel Viñas who used to work in the EU’s Brussels office.
Excerpt: “In response to Bienvenido Macario (19 June), issues concerning UK expats living in the EU would have to be addressed in the negotiations for delinking the UK from the EU.
The concessions negotiated with Cameron were accepted on the understanding that the referendum would take place according to the UK legislation on the date stated. The Lisbon Treaty acknowledges that any member state may hand in a request for separation at any time. In such cases Art. 50 would apply. This would also happen with the UK.
Needless to say, Art. 50 was designed in such a way as to deter any member state from having recourse to it. Should the UK opt out for the delinking, the framework for negotiations is likely to be set up in such a way that no danger of contamination arises. The British Government is well aware of this and has publicly stated this presumption. In my humble understanding, they wouldn´t be disappointed.”
UK Expats and Possible Brexit (Angel Viñas, Belgium, 06/19/16 10:27 am)
http://waisworld.org/go.jsp?id=02a&objectType=post&o=105808&objectTypeId=82102&topicId=199
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In John Heelan’s post PM Cameron Compared to Chamberlain(John Heelan, UK, 06/21/16 5:30 am), JE commented: Being called the “C-word” (Chamberlain) is as harsh as it gets in British politics. Given Sir Neville’s crime (submitting to Hitler), could we consider this a variation of Godwin’s Law–the Chamberlain Corollary?”
In March 1938, Hitler demanded portions of Czechoslovakia and Chamberlain tried to talk Hitler out his “lebensraum” itch. After meeting with Hitler, Chamberlain rightly claimed to have “peace in our time.” Unfortunately the time was just a matter of eleven months. The Munich Agreement was signed on Sept. 30, 1938. Poland was attacked on Sept. 1, 1939.
What is often overlooked are:
1.) Polish Ambassador to France Juliusz Lukasiewicz, assured Georges Bonnet, then the French Foreign Minister that Poland will not support a French move to counter Hitler’s ambitions in Czechoslovakia. French PM Daladier relayed their concerns to the Russian ambassador to France saying, Poland does not support Czechoslovakia and it might even side with Germany in case France made a move to defend Czechoslovakia.
2.) At this juncture, Chamberlain already saw who Hitler really was and secretly ordered the Fighter Wing of the Royal Air Force to prepare for the coming Battle of Britain. This why even with the very limited time, the Royal Air Force was able to prepare so much equipment and airplanes. Churchill became prime minister on May 10, 1940.
3.) Isolationism and Protectionism were firmly American policies and have taken root in the U.S. by 1938. It gained support in Washington DC when Japan invaded Manchuria on Sept. 18, 1931. The first attempt to abandon the Philippines was made with the Hare-Hawes-Cutting Act passed in Dec. 1932 that Pres. Hoover vetoed. The protectionist cover story for the Hare-Hawes-Cutting act was the American farmers’ fear of competition from Philippine agri-products namely sugar and coconut oils. The U.S. Congress overrode the veto on Jan. 17, 1933. But since the act required the consent of the Philippine Senate that vetoed the same.
http://www.britannica.com/topic/Hare-Hawes-Cutting-Act
BREMAIN IS THE SAME AS AMENDING THE 1919 TREATY OF VERSAILLES
The still to be implemented reforms of EU should be compared to the amending the 1919 Treaty of Versailles that could have prevented WWII. The onerous terms of the Treaty of Versailles was the single cause of the rise of Hitler and the start of WWII.
Let us say there is a Brexit, the EU collapsed and the now UK find Scottish nationalists reviving the secessionist movement, where is the danger? Don’t you think this scenario is the best opportunity for Putin to revive the USSR with the Berlin Wall in Ukraine? Putin could always claim Napoleon and Hitler have invaded Russia. Putin could pretend to be paranoid and preempt the West at its weakest moment.
So if the EU fails to implement the reforms promised as to PM David Cameron and other reforms to drive the EU forward, the consequences of a Brexit is what the EU will have. And for once Putin if not Russia, could be a very useful incentive to make the EU work.
Most of the 35 developed countries’ problems will be about the domestic and international components of the Perfect Storm. War and refugees are just the symptoms thereof.
This is from Sept. 14, 2008: “If I were an extra-terrestrial, I’d say humans are smart but a forgetful lot. The advances made in the last 200 years are astounding and impressive. But the underlying principle of survival in the last 2,000 years remains the same: “If you want peace, prepare for war.”
I’d write about the number-one cause of war in my next post. It’s ironic that if man cannot live in peace, he struggles to find an excuse to die fighting for peace, huh?
Russia: US War with Russia? (Bienvenido Macario, Philippines/US) 09-14-08
http://waisworld.org/go.jsp?id=02a&objectType=post&o=24197&objectTypeId=18447&topicId=1
BREMAIN IS THE SAME AS AMENDING THE 1919 TREATY OF VERSAILLES
The still to be implemented reforms of EU should be compared to the amending the 1919 Treaty of Versailles that could have prevented WWII. The onerous terms of the Treaty of Versailles was the single cause of the rise of Hitler and the start of WWII.
Let us say there is a Brexit, the EU collapsed and the now UK find Scottish nationalists reviving the secessionist movement, where is the danger? Don’t you think this scenario is the best opportunity for Putin to revive the USSR with the Berlin Wall in Ukraine? Putin could always claim Napoleon and Hitler have invaded Russia. Putin could pretend to be paranoid and preempt the West at its weakest moment.
So if the EU fails to implement the reforms promised as to PM David Cameron and other reforms to drive the EU forward, the consequences of a Brexit is what the EU will have. And for once Putin if not Russia, could be a very useful incentive to make the EU work.
Most of the 35 developed countries’ problems will be about the domestic and international components of the Perfect Storm. War and refugees are just the symptoms thereof.
This is from Sept. 14, 2008: “If I were an extra-terrestrial, I’d say humans are smart but a forgetful lot. The advances made in the last 200 years are astounding and impressive. But the underlying principle of survival in the last 2,000 years remains the same: “If you want peace, prepare for war.”
I’d write about the number-one cause of war in my next post. It’s ironic that if man cannot live in peace, he struggles to find an excuse to die fighting for peace, huh?
Would Bremain “Correct” the Treaty of Versailles? (Bienvenido Macario, USA, 06/22/16 10:20 am)
http://waisworld.org/go.jsp?id=02a&objectType=post&o=105932&objectTypeId=82135&topicId=199